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FC Augsburg

Bundesliga · season 2026-27 · 7 matches

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9League position9 of 18 in the regular season table (9 points, 7 played).
1484Elo ratingGoes up when the team gets more from its matches than expected, down when it gets less. Rank 13 of 18 in Bundesliga. Own rating (H = 50, K = 10), parameters calibrated on 624 Liga 1 match (Brier 0.1582 vs 0.1679) and used in every league.

How it is doing now

In short, from results: the last 5 matches (W = win, D = draw, L = loss, most recent on the right), the points rate (how many of the possible points it took, next to the league average), the state (how many of 3 measures are above the league average) and what happens to it most consistently.

Augsburg9th of 18Above average 2 of 3 measures above the benchmarkLast 5DLDLDPoints rate · last 1050%league 46%Goal difference +4 in the last 10 · Elo −5.9 in the last 5Most consistent · last 20Nothing above the league rate in the cautious reading.
How the box is calculated
  • Points rate = the points taken in the last 10 matches, divided by the possible ones (3 per match). League average = the same calculation over all the league's matches in the 365 days before.
  • The state counts 3 measures: (1) the points rate over the last 10 matches is above the league average; (2) the goal difference over the last 10 matches is positive; (3) the Elo rating rose over the last 5 matches (Elo accounts for the opponents' strength). Equal to the benchmark does not count.
  • 3 of 3 = good form · 2 = above average · 1 = below average · 0 = poor form. The state appears from 6 consecutive matches in our data.
  • Most consistent = at most 3 things from the last 20 matches that happened more often than in the league even in the cautious reading (the lower bound of the 95% interval is above the league rate). If there is none, the box says so.
  • “Consecutive” = no break longer than 180 days: for a team back in the league, the count starts from its return.
  • The state describes results so far, not what comes next and not the team's morale.

Next match

The team's next scheduled match, with the model's estimate for 1 (home win), X (draw) and 2 (away win). An estimate, not advice; it is frozen before kick-off and its record is public.

FC Augsburg – SC Freiburg

· Home

37%1≈ 1 in 2.71
26%X≈ 1 in 3.88
37%2≈ 1 in 2.68

Explore FC Augsburg

The analysis pages this team appears on. Each card shows the team's figure taken from the very page it opens; open it to see it next to the other teams and the league benchmark.

01 / 07Season simulator16%chance of finishing in the bottom 3Where does its season end? →02 / 07Fixture difficulty0.52difficulty of the next 5 matches (from 0, easy, to 1, hard)How hard is what comes next? →03 / 07Half-time → full-time62%won after leading at half-time (18 of 29)Does it hold on to a half-time lead? →04 / 07Upsets against the model3upsets in the team's favour in 2025-26 ↺ (expected 1.8)How often did it surprise the model? →05 / 07Exact scores1–1the team's most common score (14 of 109 matches)What score do its matches end with most? →06 / 07Top scorers4Michael Gregoritsch, the team's top league scorerWho scores its goals? →07 / 07Elo ratings1484Elo rating: #13 in BundesligaHow strong is it, really? →

Elo rating over time n = 109

The team's Elo rating after every match in our database (green line) next to the average rating of the teams playing the same season of its league (grey line). The rating goes up after a result better than expected and down after a worse one; the line breaks where the team played outside the leagues we follow. Hover or tap the chart for a single match; every value is also in the table below.

1484now
1503highest16 Mar 2024
1446lowest15 Jan 2026
+19last 10 matches
FC Augsburgleague average (teams of the same season)
1440146014801500152015402023-242024-252025-262026-27
All ratings (table)
dateopponentscoreratingchangeleague avg.
24 Oct 2026Union Berlin (H)1–11484−11530
17 Oct 2026Elversberg (A)3–41486−41530
10 Oct 2026Bayern (H)2–21490+31530
19 Sep 2026Bremen (A)2–31487−51530
12 Sep 2026Leverkusen (H)2–21492+11530
6 Sep 2026Frankfurt (A)4–11490+111530
30 Aug 2026Schalke (H)3–01479+81530
16 May 2026Union Berlin (A)0–41471−91516
9 May 2026M'gladbach (H)3–11480+61516
2 May 2026Bremen (A)3–11474+91516
25 Apr 2026Frankfurt (H)1–1146501516
18 Apr 2026Leverkusen (A)2–11465+81516
10 Apr 2026Hoffenheim (H)2–2145701516
4 Apr 2026HSV (A)1–11457+11516
22 Mar 2026Stuttgart (H)2–51455−71516
14 Mar 2026Dortmund (A)0–21462−31516
7 Mar 2026RB Leipzig (A)1–21465−31516
27 Feb 20261. FC Köln (H)2–01468+61516
21 Feb 2026Wolfsburg (A)3–21462+61516
15 Feb 2026Heidenheim (H)1–01457+31516
7 Feb 2026Mainz (A)0–21453−61516
31 Jan 2026St. Pauli (H)2–11459+41516
24 Jan 2026Bayern (A)2–11455+91516
18 Jan 2026Freiburg (H)2–2144601516
15 Jan 2026Union Berlin (H)1–11446−11516
11 Jan 2026M'gladbach (A)0–41447−81516
20 Dec 2025Bremen (H)0–0145501516
13 Dec 2025Frankfurt (A)0–11455−31516
6 Dec 2025Leverkusen (H)2–01458+111516
29 Nov 2025Hoffenheim (A)0–31447−71516
22 Nov 2025HSV (H)1–01454+51516
9 Nov 2025Stuttgart (A)2–31449−31516
31 Oct 2025Dortmund (H)0–11451−41516
25 Oct 2025RB Leipzig (H)0–61455−91516
18 Oct 20251. FC Köln (A)1–1146401516
4 Oct 2025Wolfsburg (H)3–11463+71516
27 Sep 2025Heidenheim (A)1–21456−51516
20 Sep 2025Mainz (H)1–41461−91516
14 Sep 2025St. Pauli (A)1–21470−41516
30 Aug 2025Bayern (H)2–31475−31516
23 Aug 2025Freiburg (A)3–11478+91516
17 May 2025Union Berlin (H)1–21468−61510
11 May 2025Stuttgart (A)0–41475−61510
4 May 2025Holstein Kiel (H)1–31481−101510
26 Apr 2025Leverkusen (A)0–21491−31510
20 Apr 2025Frankfurt (H)0–0149401510
12 Apr 2025Bochum (A)2–11494+41510
4 Apr 2025Bayern (H)1–31489−51510
29 Mar 2025Hoffenheim (A)1–1149501510
15 Mar 2025Wolfsburg (H)1–01494+41510
8 Mar 2025Dortmund (A)1–01490+71510
2 Mar 2025Freiburg (H)0–0148301510
22 Feb 2025M'gladbach (A)3–01484+101510
14 Feb 2025RB Leipzig (H)0–01473+11510
8 Feb 2025Mainz (A)0–01472+11510
1 Feb 2025St. Pauli (A)1–11471+11510
25 Jan 2025Heidenheim (H)2–11470+41510
19 Jan 2025Bremen (A)2–01466+101510
15 Jan 2025Union Berlin (A)2–01457+81510
12 Jan 2025Stuttgart (H)0–11448−41510
21 Dec 2024Holstein Kiel (A)1–51452−91510
14 Dec 2024Leverkusen (H)0–21461−51510
7 Dec 2024Frankfurt (A)2–21466+21510
30 Nov 2024Bochum (H)1–01464+31510
22 Nov 2024Bayern (A)0–31460−41510
10 Nov 2024Hoffenheim (H)0–01464−11510
2 Nov 2024Wolfsburg (A)1–11465+11510
26 Oct 2024Dortmund (H)2–11464+61510
19 Oct 2024Freiburg (A)1–31458−61510
4 Oct 2024M'gladbach (H)2–11464+41510
28 Sep 2024RB Leipzig (A)0–41460−51510
20 Sep 2024Mainz (H)2–31465−61510
15 Sep 2024St. Pauli (H)3–11471+71510
1 Sep 2024Heidenheim (A)0–41464−71510
24 Aug 2024Bremen (H)2–2147101510
18 May 2024Leverkusen (A)1–21472−21500
10 May 2024Stuttgart (H)0–11474−41500
4 May 2024Dortmund (A)1–51478−61500
27 Apr 2024Bremen (H)0–31484−101500
19 Apr 2024Frankfurt (A)1–31495−61500
12 Apr 2024Union Berlin (H)2–01501+61500
7 Apr 2024Hoffenheim (A)1–31495−71500
31 Mar 20241. FC Köln (H)1–11502−21500
16 Mar 2024Wolfsburg (A)3–11503+81500
9 Mar 2024Heidenheim (H)1–01495+41500
2 Mar 2024Darmstadt (A)6–01491+111500
25 Feb 2024Freiburg (H)2–11481+41500
17 Feb 2024Mainz (A)0–11476−51500
10 Feb 2024RB Leipzig (H)2–2148101500
3 Feb 2024Bochum (A)1–11481+11500
27 Jan 2024Bayern (H)2–31480−41500
21 Jan 2024M'gladbach (A)2–11485+61500
13 Jan 2024Leverkusen (H)0–11479−41500
20 Dec 2023Stuttgart (A)0–31483−61500
16 Dec 2023Dortmund (H)1–1149001500
9 Dec 2023Bremen (A)0–21490−71500
3 Dec 2023Frankfurt (H)2–11497+51500
25 Nov 2023Union Berlin (A)1–1149201500
11 Nov 2023Hoffenheim (H)1–1149201500
4 Nov 20231. FC Köln (A)1–1149201500
28 Oct 2023Wolfsburg (H)3–21492+41500
22 Oct 2023Heidenheim (A)5–21488+101500
7 Oct 2023Darmstadt (H)1–21477−61500
1 Oct 2023Freiburg (A)0–21483−61500
23 Sep 2023Mainz (H)2–11490+41500
16 Sep 2023RB Leipzig (A)0–31485−71500
2 Sep 2023Bochum (H)2–21492−11500
27 Aug 2023Bayern (A)1–31493−61500
19 Aug 2023M'gladbach (H)4–41499—1500

Team fingerprint

Six things that happened in the team's last 20 league matches in our database, next to how often they happened across the whole league over one year (the period is in the legend). The shape shows what happens to this team more or less often than across the league. It is not a rating and does not say what comes next.

FC Augsburgleague, last 12 months · n = 303

league · Wins: 228 of 606 (38%)league · Scores: 477 of 606 (79%)league · 3+ goals: 197 of 303 (65%)league · Both teams score: 188 of 303 (62%)league · Concedes: 477 of 606 (79%)league · Leads at half-time: 192 of 606 (32%)team · Wins: 8 of 20 (40%)team · Scores: 18 of 20 (90%)team · 3+ goals: 14 of 20 (70%)team · Both teams score: 15 of 20 (75%)team · Concedes: 17 of 20 (85%)team · Leads at half-time: 8 of 20 (40%)WinsScores3+ goalsBoth teamsscoreConcedesLeads athalf-time
FC Augsburgleague
Winswon the match40%8 of 2022–61%38%228 of 60634–42%
Scoresscored at least once90%18 of 2070–97%79%477 of 60675–82%
3+ goalsat least 3 goals in the match, both teams (2-1 counts, 1-1 does not)70%14 of 2048–85%65%197 of 30359–70%
Both teams scoreboth teams scored (1-1 counts, 2-0 does not)75%15 of 2053–89%62%188 of 30356–67%
Concedesconceded at least once85%17 of 2064–95%79%477 of 60675–82%
Leads at half-timemore goals at the break (1-0 counts, 1-1 does not)40%8 of 2022–61%32%192 of 60628–35%

Under each percentage: the 95% confidence interval. The rings in the chart: 25, 50, 75 and 100%.

Form

The team's recent results this season: wins, draws, losses, points per match and goals over the last 5 and up to 10 matches, home and away. What happened, not what comes next.

Last 5 matches n = 5

DLDLD
3points
0.60per match
0-3-2W-D-L
10scored
12conceded

Last 7 matches n = 7

WWDLDLD
9points
1.29per match
2-3-2W-D-L
17scored
13conceded

Home, last 5

Not enough data yet (4 of 5 matches needed).

Away, last 5

Not enough data yet (3 of 5 matches needed).

Streaks n = 7

Current and longest streaks in the sample: consecutive matches unbeaten, scoring, keeping a clean sheet, or with both teams scoring. A long streak says nothing about the next match.

1unbeaten · currentlongest in the sample: 3
7scoring · currentlongest in the sample: 7
0clean sheets · currentlongest in the sample: 1
6both teams scored · currentlongest in the sample: 6

Goals: home and away n = 7

How the team's matches usually end this season, split into home and away: how often both teams scored, how often there were 3 or more goals (2-1 yes, 1-1 no), how often it kept a clean sheet and how often it failed to score. Under each percentage: out of how many matches, and the league average on the same matches (home = the league's home teams, away = the visitors).

matchesscored / matchconceded / matchboth scored3+ goalsclean sheetfailed to score
All matches72.43league 1.781.86league 1.7886%6 of 7 · league 57%86%6 of 7 · league 70%14%1 of 7 · league 25%0%0 of 7 · league 25%
Home42.00league 2.201.25league 1.3675%3 of 4 · league 57%75%3 of 4 · league 70%25%1 of 4 · league 34%0%0 of 4 · league 16%
Away33.00league 1.362.67league 2.20100%3 of 3 · league 57%100%3 of 3 · league 70%0%0 of 3 · league 16%0%0 of 3 · league 34%

Every team in the league: form, home, away, goals →

First half vs second half

Goals scored and conceded in the first half versus the second, from half-time scores. Shows in which part of the match the team has been more active or more exposed.

Not enough data yet (7 of 8 matches needed).

Goals by 15-minute interval · Late goals (after minute 75)

When the goals come: the match split into 15-minute slices, with goals scored and conceded in each. Stoppage time counts in the last slice.

Not available for this league (the free data source has no goal minutes).

Coaches

The team's coaches, with the dates they started and left according to Wikidata, and the league matches in our database played under each, with points per match. A match where the coach is not known (missing or conflicting data) counts for no one. The current coach is shown only when football-data.org names the same person.

We do not have this team's coach dates yet.

Last matches n = 7

The most recent matches played, with score and opponent, newest first.

24 Oct 2026HomeH1. FC Union Berlin1–1
17 Oct 2026AwayASV 07 Elversberg3–4
10 Oct 2026HomeHFC Bayern München2–2
19 Sep 2026AwayASV Werder Bremen2–3
12 Sep 2026HomeHBayer 04 Leverkusen2–2
6 Sep 2026AwayAEintracht Frankfurt4–1
30 Aug 2026HomeHFC Schalke 043–0

Next matches n = 5

The team's next scheduled matches, with kick-off time. The Stats button opens both teams' form, the head-to-head record and the probability of the main events.

HomeHSC Freiburg
AwayARB Leipzig
HomeH1. FSV Mainz 05
AwayATSG 1899 Hoffenheim
5 Dec 2026 · kick-off time not set yetHomeH1. FC Köln

kick-off (UTC)

The team's scorers · 2026-27 n = 9

The team's players who have scored in the league this season, from the official data source. Below: their goals next to the goals the team has scored in league matches; any difference is shown as it is (the source has no match events, so it does not say who scored the rest).

Playergoalsmatchespenaltiesassists
Michael Gregoritsch461—
Robin Fellhauer36——
Fabian Rieder2613
Rodrigo Ribeiro26——
Alexis Claude Maurice13—1
Anton Kade13—1
Arijon Ibrahimovic16——
Calvin Brackelmann16——
Mert Kömür16——

The players in the list have 16 goals between them; the team has scored 17 in the league. A 1-goal difference between the source's scorer list and the results; the source does not say who scored the rest. “—” = the source gives no value.

All league top scorers →

Head-to-head n = 17

Opponents this team has met at least 3 times in our database; each link opens the full head-to-head page with every meeting.

Updated 25 Oct 2026