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Paris Saint-Germain FC – Angers SCO

Ligue 1 · Matchday 30 · 1 May 2027 · kick-off time not set yet

Model estimate

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The model's chances for a home win, a draw and an away win. ❄ = the estimate was frozen within the last hour before kick-off (the model runs hourly) and no longer changes; “provisional” = it can still change until it is frozen. How good the model is can be seen on the calibration page.

No estimate yet: the model looks 14 days ahead, and a team needs 8 matches in the model window.

In three sentences

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Three sentences, each from a figure in our database: what happened (streaks, form or head-to-head), why it matters today (rest, congestion, table, derby) and what the model estimates. Nothing hand-written, nothing guessed.

As of today, the home side have scored in each of their last 27 matches. The home side are 2nd, level on points with the leaders, with 27 matches left. The model has no estimate for this match yet.

Form, streaks, position and points are today's (25 Oct 2026), not the ones at kick-off: before this match the home side still have 22 league matches to play, the away side 22.

League position2 vs 15
Elo rating1719 vs 1430
Last 5LWWWW homeLDWLL away
Rest days7 vs 7

Side by side at a glance

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Both teams side by side at a glance: position, Elo, recent results, points rate, goals and rest, with the league average where it makes sense. Each number is detailed further down the page.

points rate 67% vs 30%

The home and away teams before the match, from their matches in a row. = ahead on that row. League = average over the last 12 months.

PSGAngers SCOLeague
League position2nd of 18 · 14 pts 15th of 18 · 7 pts—
Elo rating1719 1430—
Last 5LWWWWLDWLL—
Points rate (last 10)67% 30%46%
Goals scored per match (10)1.8 1.2—
Goals conceded per match (10)1.1 2.0—
At venue (10): home team at home, away team away63%27%51% · 41%
Both teams score (10)7 of 107 of 1062%
3+ goals in the match (10)7 of 105 of 1062%
Days of rest77—

Home side at home · visitors away n = 2 · 3

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The home side only in its home matches, the visitors only in their away matches, this season: goals scored and conceded, how often both teams scored, how often there were 3+ goals, how often they kept a clean sheet and how often they failed to score. Under each percentage: out of how many matches, and the league average on the same matches. It describes what happened, not what comes next.

scored / match: 2.00 vs 1.33
PSG at homeAngers SCO away
matches23
scored / match2.00league 1.631.33league 1.42
conceded / match1.50league 1.422.00league 1.63
both scored100%2 of 2 · league 65%67%2 of 3 · league 65%
3+ goals100%2 of 2 · league 65%67%2 of 3 · league 65%
clean sheet0%0 of 2 · league 23%33%1 of 3 · league 18%
failed to score0%0 of 2 · league 18%33%1 of 3 · league 23%

Match radar

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Six things that happened in each team's last 20 league matches before this one, next to how often they happened across the whole league in the year before the match. The further a point is from the centre, the more often it happened. It is not a rating and does not say who wins.

Wins: 60% vs 15% · league 38%

PSGAngers SCOleague, year before the match · n = 94

league · Wins: 72 of 188 (38%)league · Scores: 146 of 188 (78%)league · 3+ goals: 58 of 94 (62%)league · Both teams score: 58 of 94 (62%)league · Concedes: 146 of 188 (78%)league · Leads at half-time: 54 of 186 (29%)home side · Wins: 12 of 20 (60%)home side · Scores: 20 of 20 (100%)home side · 3+ goals: 16 of 20 (80%)home side · Both teams score: 12 of 20 (60%)home side · Concedes: 12 of 20 (60%)home side · Leads at half-time: 10 of 20 (50%)away side · Wins: 3 of 20 (15%)away side · Scores: 12 of 20 (60%)away side · 3+ goals: 8 of 20 (40%)away side · Both teams score: 10 of 20 (50%)away side · Concedes: 16 of 20 (80%)away side · Leads at half-time: 1 of 20 (5%)WinsScores3+ goalsBoth teamsscoreConcedesLeads athalf-time
PSGleagueAngers SCO
Winswon the match60%12 of 2039–78%38%72 of 18832–45%15%3 of 205–36%
Scoresscored at least once100%20 of 2084–100%78%146 of 18871–83%60%12 of 2039–78%
3+ goalsat least 3 goals in the match, both teams (2-1 counts, 1-1 does not)80%16 of 2058–92%62%58 of 9452–71%40%8 of 2022–61%
Both teams scoreboth teams scored (1-1 counts, 2-0 does not)60%12 of 2039–78%62%58 of 9452–71%50%10 of 2030–70%
Concedesconceded at least once60%12 of 2039–78%78%146 of 18871–83%80%16 of 2058–92%
Leads at half-timemore goals at the break (1-0 counts, 1-1 does not)50%10 of 2030–70%29%54 of 18623–36%5%1 of 201–24%

Under each percentage: the 95% confidence interval. The rings in the chart: 25, 50, 75 and 100%.

Form before the match

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Each team's last 5 matches before this one: anywhere, and separately the home side at home / the away side away. Points, wins-draws-losses, goals.

points, last 5: 12 vs 4

PSG · Last 5, anywhere n = 5

LWWWW
12pts
4-0-1W-D-L
10:5goals

Angers SCO · Last 5, anywhere n = 5

LDWLL
4pts
1-1-3W-D-L
6:12goals

PSG · Last 5 at home n = 5

WDWLW
10pts
3-1-1W-D-L
10:5goals

Angers SCO · Last 5 away n = 5

LDWDL
5pts
1-2-2W-D-L
6:10goals

What changed

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Each team's direction before the match: the previous 5 matches against the last 5 (points, goals, how strong the opponents were by Elo) and how many Elo points it gained or lost. It says what happened, not why or what comes next; 5 matches are few.

Points (of 15): 8 → 12 vs 5 → 4

The previous 5 matches → the last 5, played before kick-off.

PSGAngers SCO
Points (of 15)8 → 12 ▲5 → 4 ▼
Goals scored per match1.6 → 2.0 ▲1.2 → 1.2 =
Goals conceded per match1.2 → 1.0 ▼1.6 → 2.4 ▲
Average Elo of the opponents1547 → 1540 easier opponents1511 → 1507 easier opponents
Elo over the last 5 matches+7 (1719)−9 (1430)

Context

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Figures about both teams' situation before the match, in real units: days since the previous match on the calendar (league and Champions League; domestic cups are not in the free source), matches in the 7 and 14 days before, position and points distance to the important zones with matches remaining, the simulator impact when the match is near, and each team's coach on the match date with the league matches led before it (Wikidata; the current one only if football-data.org names the same person). What the free source does not give is shown as such, not hidden.

rest days: 7 vs 7
PSGAngers SCO
days since last match77
matches in last 7 days11
matches in last 14 days22
position today2 (14 pts)15 (7 pts)
points off 1st07
points off top 4in top 47
points above bottom 381
matches left (incl. this one)55
coach (league matches led before)Luis Enrique
since 5 Jul 2023 · 109 matches
Stéphane Gilli
since 9 Jun 2026 · 7 matches
travel distance (away side)—≈ 260 km

Weather: the forecast appears 3 days before kick-off.

no data in the free source: absentees, starting XI.

Head-to-head

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The latest head-to-head matches in our database, with the score and who played at home. Few matches = little information; an old result says nothing about today's.

PSG 4-0-0 (n = 4)

PSG 4-0-0 (n = 4)

homeaway
25 Apr 2026Angers SCO0–3PSG
22 Aug 2025PSG1–0Angers SCO
5 Apr 2025PSG1–0Angers SCO
9 Nov 2024Angers SCO2–4PSG

All 4 meetings in our database →

Ongoing streaks

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Both teams' ongoing streaks before the match: matches in a row unbeaten, scoring, keeping a clean sheet and so on. A streak describes the past; today's match can end it.

Paris Saint-Germain FC · unbeaten: 4
nowlongest in our database
Paris Saint-Germain FCunbeaten432
Paris Saint-Germain FCwins in a row410
Paris Saint-Germain FCscoring2727
Paris Saint-Germain FCconceding37
Paris Saint-Germain FCboth teams score37
Paris Saint-Germain FC3+ goals37
Angers SCOscoring39

Updated 25 Oct 2026 07:20