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Udinese Calcio – Venezia FC

Serie A · Matchday 24 · 14 Feb 2027 · kick-off time not set yet

Model estimate

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The model's chances for a home win, a draw and an away win. ❄ = the estimate was frozen within the last hour before kick-off (the model runs hourly) and no longer changes; “provisional” = it can still change until it is frozen. How good the model is can be seen on the calibration page.

No estimate yet: the model looks 14 days ahead, and a team needs 8 matches in the model window.

In three sentences

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Three sentences, each from a figure in our database: what happened (streaks, form or head-to-head), why it matters today (rest, congestion, table, derby) and what the model estimates. Nothing hand-written, nothing guessed.

As of today, the home side are winless in their last 5 matches. The home side are 18th, level on points with 17th place, with 31 matches left. The model has no estimate for this match yet.

Form, streaks, position and points are today's (25 Oct 2026), not the ones at kick-off: before this match the home side still have 16 league matches to play, the away side 16.

League position18 vs 20
Elo rating1457 vs 1416
Last 5LLLLL homeLLLLW away
Rest days7 vs 7

Side by side at a glance

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Both teams side by side at a glance: position, Elo, recent results, points rate, goals and rest, with the league average where it makes sense. Each number is detailed further down the page.

points rate 23% vs 14%

The home and away teams before the match, from their matches in a row. = ahead on that row. League = average over the last 12 months.

UdineseVenezia FCLeague
League position18th of 20 · 4 pts 20th of 20 · 3 pts—
Elo rating1457 1416—
Last 5LLLLLLLLLW—
Points rate (last 10)23% 14%47%
Goals scored per match (10)1.1 0.9—
Goals conceded per match (10)1.8 2.3—
At venue (10): home team at home, away team away27%—50% · 43%
Both teams score (10)5 of 103 of 748%
3+ goals in the match (10)5 of 103 of 751%
Days of rest77—

Home side at home · visitors away n = 4 · 3

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The home side only in its home matches, the visitors only in their away matches, this season: goals scored and conceded, how often both teams scored, how often there were 3+ goals, how often they kept a clean sheet and how often they failed to score. Under each percentage: out of how many matches, and the league average on the same matches. It describes what happened, not what comes next.

scored / match: 0.50 vs 1.00
Udinese at homeVenezia FC away
matches43
scored / match0.50league 1.591.00league 1.41
conceded / match1.75league 1.412.67league 1.59
both scored50%2 of 4 · league 57%67%2 of 3 · league 57%
3+ goals50%2 of 4 · league 60%67%2 of 3 · league 60%
clean sheet0%0 of 4 · league 23%0%0 of 3 · league 21%
failed to score50%2 of 4 · league 21%33%1 of 3 · league 23%

Match radar

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Six things that happened in each team's last 20 league matches before this one, next to how often they happened across the whole league in the year before the match. The further a point is from the centre, the more often it happened. It is not a rating and does not say who wins.

Wins: 30% vs 60% · league 40%

UdineseVenezia FCleague, year before the match · n = 215

league · Wins: 171 of 430 (40%)league · Scores: 306 of 430 (71%)league · 3+ goals: 109 of 215 (51%)league · Both teams score: 104 of 215 (48%)league · Concedes: 306 of 430 (71%)league · Leads at half-time: 126 of 430 (29%)home side · Wins: 6 of 20 (30%)home side · Scores: 12 of 20 (60%)home side · 3+ goals: 9 of 20 (45%)home side · Both teams score: 7 of 20 (35%)home side · Concedes: 14 of 20 (70%)home side · Leads at half-time: 7 of 20 (35%)WinsScores3+ goalsBoth teamsscoreConcedesLeads athalf-time
UdineseleagueVenezia FC
Winswon the match30%6 of 2015–52%40%171 of 43035–44%—
Scoresscored at least once60%12 of 2039–78%71%306 of 43067–75%—
3+ goalsat least 3 goals in the match, both teams (2-1 counts, 1-1 does not)45%9 of 2026–66%51%109 of 21544–57%—
Both teams scoreboth teams scored (1-1 counts, 2-0 does not)35%7 of 2018–57%48%104 of 21542–55%—
Concedesconceded at least once70%14 of 2048–85%71%306 of 43067–75%—
Leads at half-timemore goals at the break (1-0 counts, 1-1 does not)35%7 of 2018–57%29%126 of 43025–34%—

Under each percentage: the 95% confidence interval. The rings in the chart: 25, 50, 75 and 100%.

Venezia FC: not enough data: 7 of 8 matches

Form before the match

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Each team's last 5 matches before this one: anywhere, and separately the home side at home / the away side away. Points, wins-draws-losses, goals.

points, last 5: 0 vs 3

Udinese · Last 5, anywhere n = 5

LLLLL
0pts
0-0-5W-D-L
5:13goals

Venezia FC · Last 5, anywhere n = 5

LLLLW
3pts
1-0-4W-D-L
6:12goals

Udinese · Last 5 at home n = 5

LDLLL
1pts
0-1-4W-D-L
2:8goals

Venezia FC · Last 5 away

not enough data (3 of 5)

What changed

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Each team's direction before the match: the previous 5 matches against the last 5 (points, goals, how strong the opponents were by Elo) and how many Elo points it gained or lost. It says what happened, not why or what comes next; 5 matches are few.

Points (of 15): 7 → 0 vs not enough data (7 matches in a row; the comparison needs 10) Goals scored per match 1.2 → 1.0

The previous 5 matches → the last 5, played before kick-off.

UdineseVenezia FC
Points (of 15)7 → 0 ▼not enough data (7 matches in a row; the comparison needs 10)
Goals scored per match1.2 → 1.0 ▼not enough data (7 matches in a row; the comparison needs 10)
Goals conceded per match1.0 → 2.6 ▲not enough data (7 matches in a row; the comparison needs 10)
Average Elo of the opponents1495 → 1525 tougher opponentsnot enough data (7 matches in a row; the comparison needs 10)
Elo over the last 5 matches−29 (1457)−12 (1416)

Context

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Figures about both teams' situation before the match, in real units: days since the previous match on the calendar (league and Champions League; domestic cups are not in the free source), matches in the 7 and 14 days before, position and points distance to the important zones with matches remaining, the simulator impact when the match is near, and each team's coach on the match date with the league matches led before it (Wikidata; the current one only if football-data.org names the same person). What the free source does not give is shown as such, not hidden.

rest days: 7 vs 7
UdineseVenezia FC
days since last match77
matches in last 7 days11
matches in last 14 days22
position today18 (4 pts)20 (3 pts)
points off 1st1819
points off top 41314
points above bottom 3bottom 3 · 0 off 17thbottom 3 · 1 off 17th
matches left (incl. this one)1515
coach (league matches led before)Kosta Runjaić
since 1 Jul 2024 · 83 matches
Giovanni Stroppa
since 1 Jul 2025 · 7 matches
travel distance (away side)—≈ 100 km

Weather: the forecast appears 3 days before kick-off.

no data in the free source: absentees, starting XI.

Head-to-head

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The latest head-to-head matches in our database, with the score and who played at home. Few matches = little information; an old result says nothing about today's.

Udinese 1-0-1 (n = 2)

Udinese 1-0-1 (n = 2)

homeaway
1 Feb 2025Udinese3–2Venezia FC
30 Oct 2024Venezia FC3–2Udinese

Ongoing streaks

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Both teams' ongoing streaks before the match: matches in a row unbeaten, scoring, keeping a clean sheet and so on. A streak describes the past; today's match can end it.

Udinese Calcio · winless: 5
nowlongest in our database
Udinese Calciowinless510
Udinese Calcioconceding911

Updated 25 Oct 2026 07:20